Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 14.531702 16.496474 18.579463 20.947064 23.558186 26.344573 29.537409
2025-01-12 10.922714 13.478992 16.372270 19.869538 23.961288 28.575486 34.149738
2025-01-19 8.353274 11.160999 14.539969 18.860715 24.189645 30.495379 38.464919
2025-01-26 7.201356 10.325212 14.292041 19.614665 26.475626 34.921581 45.992070
2025-02-02 6.652816 10.150172 14.803641 21.309305 30.011194 41.078043 56.019516
2025-02-09 5.944901 9.638772 14.780863 22.255709 32.605816 46.170113 64.983623
2025-02-16 5.114993 8.820137 14.216567 22.368231 34.040183 49.782340 72.179745
2025-02-23 4.296946 7.888506 13.362686 21.951439 34.656785 52.271710 77.947335
2025-03-02 3.659709 7.138636 12.676649 21.681128 35.410245 54.931300 84.016315
2025-03-09 3.202102 6.611956 12.263400 21.756822 36.631420 58.262898 91.123104
2025-03-16 2.756463 6.034309 11.693894 21.515977 37.325315 60.827635 97.206617
2025-03-23 2.580675 5.921079 11.879397 22.487743 39.922871 66.284277 107.677781
2025-03-30 2.286794 5.549327 11.596772 22.689817 41.366295 70.156629 116.106600
2025-04-06 1.898601 4.922878 10.785895 21.915988 41.175067 71.517384 120.833310
2025-04-13 1.560066 4.335271 9.970170 21.046220 40.744867 72.457486 124.931137
2025-04-20 1.468916 4.279840 10.168307 22.014315 43.466613 78.493320 137.127607
2025-04-27 1.483346 4.472340 10.875585 23.971115 47.990391 87.598381 154.441250
2025-05-04 1.410443 4.442247 11.123760 25.073588 51.069221 94.465058 168.436492
2025-05-11 1.261864 4.196576 10.894153 25.234694 52.477087 98.629975 178.248579
2025-05-18 1.084971 3.840841 10.384449 24.796577 52.764704 100.922526 185.095459
2025-05-25 0.942410 3.546798 9.972335 24.511211 53.299585 103.630647 192.684047
2025-06-01 0.841954 3.350477 9.756630 24.603309 54.527643 107.546611 202.359250
2025-06-08 0.733071 3.103408 9.389729 24.341798 55.058155 110.259180 210.094379